Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.105702 8.992456 9.959492 11.096376 12.401407 13.858549 15.616925
2025-11-30 6.832392 7.992202 9.345272 11.054548 13.176276 15.750009 19.149303
2025-12-07 5.899219 7.138901 8.649825 10.651925 13.273307 16.643357 21.394931
2025-12-14 5.170280 6.419251 7.993071 10.157174 13.112514 17.093941 23.018467
2025-12-21 4.704964 5.972740 7.617379 9.954192 13.268443 17.928601 25.221071
2025-12-28 4.712451 6.133898 8.039749 10.851810 15.020525 21.188525 31.450465
2026-01-04 4.497560 5.968588 7.992224 11.068269 15.792830 23.079735 35.838571
2026-01-11 4.167283 5.613601 7.643331 10.801564 15.790901 23.748172 38.277392
2026-01-18 4.026732 5.514815 7.650024 11.060756 16.624227 25.846125 43.533329
2026-01-25 3.782817 5.247210 7.384807 10.870052 16.700484 26.667631 46.564764
2026-02-01 3.576251 5.020459 7.163017 10.725115 16.830381 27.584737 49.917776
2026-02-08 3.382408 4.800262 6.935006 10.548205 16.881727 28.355545 53.093733
2026-02-15 3.176784 4.556598 6.664348 10.295450 16.804283 28.933235 56.105327
2026-02-22 3.031622 4.398348 6.518969 10.243091 17.084403 30.238299 61.006567
2026-03-01 2.834832 4.147483 6.207767 9.877830 16.744564 30.263191 62.948423
2026-03-08 2.637328 3.885334 5.862894 9.427580 16.200296 29.802547 63.632629
2026-03-15 2.506639 3.723793 5.674817 9.242722 16.150112 30.368808 67.003300
2026-03-22 2.569390 3.878638 6.024338 10.059540 18.164757 35.686478 84.185434
2026-03-29 2.517322 3.840310 6.040550 10.256265 18.937274 38.344401 94.832980
2026-04-05 2.396054 3.679858 5.834962 10.013862 18.758334 38.740155 98.873390
2026-04-12 2.358874 3.659768 5.874842 10.249439 19.633139 41.820848 112.218450
2026-04-19 2.261278 3.531392 5.714010 10.076123 19.586132 42.586596 118.206772
2026-04-26 2.175880 3.420354 5.578703 9.944352 19.619927 43.567899 125.261977